Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.028884 0.031101 0.033323 0.035715 0.038214 0.040744 0.043495
2025-11-02 0.024778 0.028264 0.031882 0.035902 0.040232 0.044740 0.049775
2025-11-09 0.022136 0.026331 0.030793 0.035864 0.041436 0.047346 0.054059
2025-11-16 0.020063 0.024759 0.029863 0.035773 0.042378 0.049487 0.057672
2025-11-23 0.018274 0.023335 0.028945 0.035551 0.043044 0.051213 0.060726
2025-11-30 0.016828 0.022185 0.028232 0.035461 0.043770 0.052931 0.063705
2025-12-07 0.015284 0.020816 0.027176 0.034894 0.043879 0.053893 0.065782
2025-12-14 0.013851 0.019489 0.026090 0.034219 0.043799 0.054587 0.067506
2025-12-21 0.012525 0.018216 0.025000 0.033475 0.043584 0.055077 0.068957
2025-12-28 0.012077 0.018003 0.025162 0.034199 0.045071 0.057518 0.072638
2026-01-04 0.011362 0.017409 0.024824 0.034292 0.045787 0.059045 0.075250
2026-01-11 0.010610 0.016728 0.024343 0.034180 0.046234 0.060239 0.077461
2026-01-18 0.010210 0.016530 0.024508 0.034921 0.047787 0.062832 0.081433
2026-01-25 0.009550 0.015961 0.024190 0.035064 0.048628 0.064608 0.084487
2026-02-01 0.008874 0.015329 0.023756 0.035029 0.049225 0.066074 0.087160
2026-02-08 0.008232 0.014705 0.023300 0.034940 0.049734 0.067418 0.089676
2026-02-15 0.007592 0.014043 0.022764 0.034720 0.050059 0.068524 0.091897
2026-02-22 0.007048 0.013490 0.022347 0.034632 0.050530 0.069795 0.094307
2026-03-01 0.006383 0.012715 0.021593 0.034073 0.050383 0.070290 0.095766
2026-03-08 0.005735 0.011924 0.020782 0.033408 0.050074 0.070566 0.096942
2026-03-15 0.005118 0.011138 0.019945 0.032676 0.049652 0.070681 0.097906
2026-03-22 0.004976 0.011104 0.020175 0.033389 0.051103 0.073133 0.101739
2026-03-29 0.004664 0.010772 0.019960 0.033480 0.051735 0.074555 0.104304